The stock market is ripe for a significant and accelerated decline after this bear market rally. That significant decline usually begins around the time the recession officially begins (which we will not know until after the fact).

We share data from 5 of the 6 mega-bear markets as to when the accelerated decline or crash begins. The median and average time when the decline begins is 12 months in. That puts it at the end of this December. The accelerated decline tends to be +30% over a 3 to 6 month period.

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