A Special Alert Musing from Mickey the Mercenary Geologist
For Subscribers Only
Contact@MercenaryGeologist.com
October 10, 2016
When an exploration company
that I have covered at various times in both bull and bear market cycles
substantially rewards thousands of subscribers, I tend to cycle back on a
periodic basis.
I first covered
Brazil Resources Inc (BRI.V)
shortly after it went public over five years ago. It
is one stock that I continue to play successfully thru the typical up and downs
of a junior resource company. As with many of my favorite holdings, I maintain
a core position and a trading position.
Since I last wrote about BRI
in early 2015 (
Mercenary Alert, January 23, 2015
), the company has significantly expanded its project portfolio with gold
resource acquisitions in Alaska and Colombia. We will discuss these items
later.
Most importantly for us as
shareholders has been its share price performance from the date of my previous
Alert to present:
With two major all-share acquisitions
in little more than a year that diluted the company less than 10%, Brazil
Resources now has 112 million shares outstanding and 127 million fully diluted,
including 12.0 million in-the-money warrants and 2.9 million options. Cash
position stands at $9.4 million. Management and insider ownership constitute
25% of holdings and institutions control about 30%. Despite these large blocks
that seldom move, liquidity is excellent with daily trading volumes averaging
nearly 1.5 million shares since March.
When my last musing was
posted on January 23 2015, BRI closed at 54 cents. Seven trading days later it
hit 85 cents. As the junior golds tumbled to an all-time low in early 2016, the
company followed suit, reaching its all-time low of 38.5 cents on January 22.
As contrarians we know that
patience with well-run companies is ultimately rewarded and in this case, it
has been. BRI started an uptick at the PDAC in March on strong volumes and with
a few pauses and corrections, continues to make new highs.
We reached our goal of a
double on April 11 when the stock hit $1.14, albeit more than three months
after our self-imposed time frame of one year. Few would quibble with that
delay when it touched $3.35 in mid-September.
Folks, this stock has been among
the top performers in the gold sector this year. For us, it’s been a six bagger
since I last reported and illustrates why we choose to back talented management
teams with promotional savvy. With last week’s 7% correction in the gold price,
BRI has fallen back to the $2.50 -$2.60 range. As traders, we love corrections
within bull markets because they present buying opportunities.
Now on to important Brazil
Resources updates since early 2016:
-
·
After acquisition
of the 170-sq km Whistler gold-copper porphyry project in south-central Alaska in
summer 2015 from Kiska Metals for 3.5 million shares and $150,000 in maintenance
services, the company tabled an updated 43-101 resource estimate. Base case
indicated resources are 79 million tonnes grading 0.51 g/t Au, 1.97 g/t silver,
and 0.17 % copper and inferred resources are 146 million tonnes grading 0.40
g/t gold, 1.75 g/t silver, and 0.15 % copper.
-
·
In March 2016,
BRI closed an oversubscribed private placement of 10 million shares to raise
$4.5 million.
-
·
In April, it
announced completion of a ground geophysical survey on its Rea uranium 75-25
joint-venture with uranium giant Areva in the southwestern Athabasca Basin.
Strong electromagnetic conductors were encountered and drill targets defined.
-
·
In April and May,
it announced 43-101 resource estimates for the Island Mountain and Raintree West
satellite deposits at the Whistler project. With these resource additions to
the, the total Whistler base case indicated resources are 110 million tonnes
grading 0.50 g/t Au, 1.72 g/t Ag, and 0.14 % Cu; inferred resources are 311
million tonnes grading 0.47 g/t Au, 2.26 g/t Ag, and 0.11% Cu.
-
·
This month, BRI
completed 100% acquisition of the Titiribi gold-copper porphyry project in
central Colombia from Trilogy Metals (TMQ.NYSE. MKT). It was an all-equity
transaction for 5.0 million shares and 1.0 million warrants at $3.50. The
company then completed a 43-101 resource estimate with base case indicated
resources at 286 million tonnes grading 0.50 g/t Au and 0.10% Cu and inferred
resources of 208 million tonnes grading 0.49 g/t Au.
With these two acquisitions made
near the bottom of the metals cycle, measured, indicated, and inferred
resources for all BRI projects now total 18.1 million ounces gold-equivalent
ounces. That is an increase of a whopping 14.2 million ounces since my last
report on the company. The company has now
established a significant pipeline of gold projects for development, production,
or disposition.
Its near-term development
project remains Sao Jorge in the Tapajos area of Para state, Brazil. This area
is benefitting from strong regional activity by both major and junior gold
companies. For example, Eldorado Gold
recently announced plans to commence construction on its Tocantinzinho project next
year.
The 100%-owned Sao Jorge
project is an advanced gold project hosting an indicated resource of 14.4
million tonnes grading 1.54 g/t Au for 715,000 oz gold and an inferred resource
of 28.2 million tonnes grading 1.14 g/t Au for 1,035,000 oz gold at a cut-off
grade of 0.3 g/t. Sao Jorge is located 70 km north of the town of Novo
Progresso via mostly paved roads with power and water on site. A mining license
application has been submitted.
The 100%-owned Cachoeira
project in northeastern Brazil contains three gold deposits with a combined
indicated resource of 692,000 ounces gold (17.5 million tonnes grading 1.23 g/t
Au) and 538,000 ounces gold (15.7 million tonnes grading 1.07 g/t Au) in the
inferred category at a 0.35 g/t cutoff. The deposits are open along strike and
at depth with several drill targets to be tested in future programs. An
environmental license application has been submitted.
The company is currently
assessing opportunities to joint ventures its other Para state holdings. They include
the Boa Vista and Surubim projects, both of which have qualified resources, and
three early-stage prospects.
Both of its new acquisitions,
Whistler and Titiribi, are large, low-grade gold-copper porphyries that are not
currently economic but will become more valuable assets as metal prices inevitably
recover. AngloGold-Ashanti is currently working on pre-feasibility studies on three
Colombian porphyry projects in the same belt as Titiribi.
Another asset of significance
in BRI’s portfolio is the aforementioned Rea uranium project in northeastern
Alberta. It will likely remain on the backburner until the uranium market
recovers.
The company remains on the
acquisition hunt for gold assets in other countries in the Americas. With its
recent acquisitions outside of Brazil, I expect a re-branding in the near
future.
This chart shows that the current
enterprise value of Brazil Resources Inc’s gold portfolio is at the very low end
with respect to its exploration and development peers in both Brazil and
Colombia. It succinctly attests to the company’s upside in market capitalization:
Note that my cost basis in
BRI is now zero because I have taken profits since the spring and may do so
again if the stock continues its rise. That said, I continue to maintain
significant core holdings in Brazil Resources Inc.
My
Power of Two
trading philosophy has worked quite well since I
became a shareholder of the company in 2010. I always encourage you to follow
this method of programmed trading to maximize potential profits in the junior
resource sector.
The company pays fees to
sponsor this website so please factor my biased opinions into your consideration.
As always, proper due
diligence is incumbent before speculating in any financial instrument.
Ciao for now,
Mickey Fulp
Mercenary Geologist
The
Mercenary Geologist Michael
S. “Mickey” Fulp
is a Certified
Professional
Geologist
with a B.Sc. Earth Sciences with honor from the
University of Tulsa, and M.Sc. Geology from the University of New Mexico.
Mickey has 35 years experience as an exploration geologist and analyst
searching for economic deposits of base and precious metals, industrial
minerals, uranium, coal, oil and gas, and water in North and South America,
Europe, and Asia
.
Mickey worked for junior explorers, major
mining companies, private companies, and investors as a consulting economic
geologist for over 20 years, specializing in geological mapping, property
evaluation, and business development. In
addition to Mickey’s professional credentials and experience, he is
high-altitude proficient, and is bilingual in English and Spanish. From 2003 to
2006, he made four outcrop ore discoveries in Peru, Nevada, Chile, and British
Columbia.
Mickey is well-known and highly respected throughout
the mining and exploration community due to his ongoing work as an analyst, writer,
and speaker.
Contact
:
Contact@MercenaryGeologist.com
Disclaimer
and Notice
: I am a
shareholder of Brazil Resources Inc and it pays a fee of $4000 per month as a
sponsor of this website. I am not a certified financial analyst, broker, or
professional qualified to offer investment advice. Nothing in any report,
commentary, this website, interview, and other content constitutes or can be
construed as investment advice or an offer or solicitation or advice to buy or
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considered an opinion and my opinions may be based upon information obtained
from research of public documents and content available on the company’s
website, regulatory filings, various stock exchange websites, and stock
information services, through discussions with company representatives, agents,
other professionals and investors, and field visits. My opinions are based upon
information believed to be accurate and reliable, but my opinions are not
guaranteed or implied to be so. The opinions presented may not be complete or
correct; all information is provided without any legal responsibility or
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